A small town in California was hit by earthquakes once every 22 years for over a century, setting the stage for a major ...

The commercial use of prediction markets has skyrocketed in recent years, opening the door for people to wage their money on ...

An online brouhaha over a recent failed high-wind forecast shows how some influencers use extreme forecasts to win followers, ...

Mathematicians rely on numbers, but finding words to explain different levels of certainty has stymied everyone from the ...

We break down the odds available for Bills vs. Jaguars at prediction markets, ahead of their Wild Card Round game.

Discover how the Dutch Book Theorem reveals profit opportunities in betting and finance when probabilities are misjudged.

Loeb was referencing the CIA’s response to a query by UFO researcher/conspiracy theorist John Greenewald Jr. In the letter, ...

Many astronomical events, such as meteor showers, run by calendrical timings as well. But our moon and the other planets move ...

If an event is more likely to occur at a certain point in time, the brain tracks the time until it occurs more precisely ...

Every once in a while, real life decides to glitch. Something happens right in front of you, your brain freezes, and years ...

Bitcoin price continues to trade within a defined range as macro pressure intersects with weakening momentum. The most recent ...

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