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Have you ever found yourself saying, “I saw that coming”? If so, you may have been wrong. Hindsight bias, sometimes referred to as the “knew-it-all-along” effect, is a common cognitive bias that ...
Antiwar liberals last week got to savor the four most satisfying words in the English language: "I told you so." This was after a declassified National Intelligence Estimate asserted that the war in ...
I was recently engaged in a Twitter discussion about, of all things, cars. (I insert "of all things" because cars are on a long list of subjects I know very little about.) Ben Carlson, director of ...
“Hindsight is 20/20,” one often hears in the context of a tendency to evaluate past choices more clearly in light of new information. But the perfect “20/20” score, referring to a measure of visual ...
COLUMBUS, Ohio – A psychological effect known as "hindsight bias" might cause people to misinterpret the conclusions of the Columbia Accident Investigation Board (CAIB), according to an Ohio State ...
“What started as a joke has become a research exercise based on the question: ‘How do sheep send messages to one another in this digital age?’” The arrival of a U.S. Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO ...
Do you have confirmation/hindsight bias? Many traders will believe that their skills, and techniques are crafted from years of analysis, but the reality is few traders go out of their way to find ...
Sylvan Browne suggests a way to deal with the problem of hindsight bias when assessing the obviousness of a patent application So-called hindsight bias can affect the assessment of the obviousness of ...