The problem with averages, says Sam L. Savage, is that “plans based on average assumptions are wrong on average.” This is the thesis of his new book, “The Flaw of Averages” (John Wiley & Sons Inc., ...
Earlier today, I quoted the longtime aviation writer J. Mac McClellan on the one-in-a-billion risk factor to which modern aircraft design is held. Someone familiar with such standards writes in: I'm a ...
Colorado State University meteorologists predict the 2025 hurricane season will have 17 named storms, 9 hurricanes, 4 major hurricanes. Forecasters also predict an above-average probability for a ...
Background The communication of injury risk in rugby and other sports is underdeveloped and parents, children and coaches need to be better informed about risk. Method A Poisson distribution was used ...
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